Future For Malaysia Equities Is Bright, Says Nomura

Nomura expects Malaysia equities to return 4% in 2018 and says stock picking will be of the utmost importance to outperform.

The positive view from the broker stems from a number of factors, listed in a report dated Jan 22: « 1) solid macro and consumption growth, 2) continuing foreign inflows amidst positive revisions, 3) better corporate balance sheets with dividend upside, 4) possible election rally, 5) likely net buying by local institutions, 6) Malaysia’s laggard performance vs peers, 7) key concerns on banks getting addressed, 8) an appreciation MYR. »

The brokers set a 2018 year end target of 1,900 points for KLCI index.

Continuer la lecture de « Future For Malaysia Equities Is Bright, Says Nomura »

UBS Sees MSCI Asia ex-Japan and TOPIX at 790 and 2,100 Respectively End-2018

From Neal McLeod and team at UBS:

« Our base case: a benign growth and policy backdrop…
We’re forecasting global growth to stabilise at 3.8% (China to slow from 6.8% to 6.4%), the export rebound to slow somewhat, inflation to pick up modestly, the Fed to hike rates three times by end 2018 (from now), US Treasury yields to grind higher to 2.7%, Asia ex Japan currencies to be flat (in equity market cap terms) versus the USD and the Yen to weaken to 122.
Continuer la lecture de « UBS Sees MSCI Asia ex-Japan and TOPIX at 790 and 2,100 Respectively End-2018 »

Risk Appetite Needs Growth – Goldman Sachs

Source: Goldman Sachs

Per today’s report:

« As equities rallied and bonds sold off, our measure of risk appetite reached a new post-crisis high, but it has started to retreat more recently. Near-term, we think growth optimism will persist and keep risk appetite strong. We are long US equity near-term as it should be a direct beneficiary of growth optimism, but expect optimism to moderate eventually. Later in 2017 we are looking to rotate from S&P 500 to EM (specifically EM-ex-China) where risk appetite has lagged and we expect the growth picture to be more supportive. We also like Europe and Japan on a 12-month horizon in our asset allocation. Both of these lagged global equities in 2016, but should continue to be beneficiaries of reflation and have supportive monetary policy backdrops. »

On a 12 month horizon, GS is overweight Equities, with a bias towards Europe and Japan, but underweight US equities and Neutral on Asia ex-Japan.

The bank underweights Government bonds and is Neutral on credit (yet with a preference for US High Yield and Euro High Yield).

It’s also Overweight Commodities and Cash.